本发明公开了一种转炉终点钢水碳含量与温度预测方法及装置,该方法包括：将每一转炉冶炼工序分别视为一个案例,对转炉冶炼工序进行案例描述；其中,案例描述包括案例特征描述和案例的解决方案描述,案例特征包括单值类型影响因素和时序类型影响因素；解决方案包括转炉终点钢水碳含量与温度；以当前转炉冶炼工序为问题案例,历史转炉冶炼工序为历史案例,基于案例推理算法检索出历史案例中的相似案例；基于检索到的相似案例及其转炉终点钢水碳含量与温度,通过案例重用获取问题案例的转炉终点钢水碳含量与温度预测值。本发明方法的预测精度优于现有预测模型,可满足转炉现场生产的要求。

The invention discloses a method and a device for predicting the carbon content and temperature of molten steel at the end of a converter. The method comprises: treating each converter smelting process as a case and describing the converter smelting process; Among them, case description includes case feature description and case solution description. Case features include single value type influencing factors and time series type influencing factors; The solution includes the carbon content and temperature of molten steel at the end of converter; Taking the current converter smelting process as the problem case and the historical converter smelting process as the historical case, the similar cases in the historical cases are retrieved based on the case-based reasoning algorithm; Based on the retrieved similar cases and the carbon content and temperature of converter end-point molten steel, the predicted values of carbon content and temperature of converter end-point molten steel of problem cases are obtained through case reuse. The prediction accuracy of the method is better than the existing prediction model and can meet the requirements of converter on-site production.